Thursday-Friday blog
Hottest year ever?
Recently the Guardian and the BBC and most of the other mainstream media reported that 2023 had been the ‘hottest year since records began’ and that 2024 was on track to be even hotter.
Here’s what the ever-reliable Guardian wrote:
Summer 2024 sweltered to Earth’s hottest on record, making it even more likely that this year will end up as the warmest humanity has measured, the European climate service Copernicus reported on Friday. And if this sounds familiar, that’s because the records the globe shattered were set just last year as human-caused climate change, with a temporary boost from an El Niño, keeps dialing up temperatures and extreme weather, scientists said. The northern meteorological summer – June, July and August – averaged 16.8C (62.24F), according to Copernicus. That’s 0.03C (0.05F) warmer than the old record in 2023.
Here’s the chart Copernicus helpfully produced to back up its claims:
The Guardian added: ‘Copernicus records go back to 1940, but American, British and Japanese records, which start in the mid-19th century, show the last decade has been the hottest since regular measurements were taken and probably in about 120,000 years, according to some scientists.’
Let’s just take a moment to look at Copernicus’s claim:
- I honestly don’t believe that reliable temperature records were being kept during the chaos and slaughter of the 1939-1945 war years. I suspect Copernicus’s records are based on computer simulations using the very few temperature-measuring stations which were available. And as we all know – GIGO
- Due to the fact that temperatures were not measured in most of the world until recently, the first reasonably reliable temperature measurements didn’t start till satellites began to be used in the 1970s. Moreover, satellites don’t directly measure temperature or the surface where people live. Instead, they measure the brightness of Earth’s atmosphere. Scientists then use computer models designed by scientists, who know that their grants and even jobs depend on them proselytising the global boiling hoax, to convert this brightness data into temperature information. And as we all know, a computer model can always produce just the answer you want it to
The Guardian specifically mentions the long history of records in the UK, US and Japan. But we know that only around 17% of the meteorogical stations used in the UK are classed as reliable by the World Meteorological Organisation. The other 83% are corrupted by things like the Urban Heat Island effect. You’ll hopefully remember that the UK’s supposedly ‘hottest ever’ temperatures are regularlly reported at Heathrow Airport where the number of pasengers and amount of freight carried by ever larger planes increase every year, Coninghsby RAF base, where Typhoon jets regularly fly, and at a very secluded spot in Cambridge Botanical Gardens surrounded by large buildings whose airconditioning systems are pumping out hot air.
Just to use the Heathrow example, here is the increase in passenger numbers and freight:
Given this increase, it’s hardly surprising temperatures at Heathrow keep increasing.
And if we look at US temperature data, we see that the boiling hot 1920s and 1930s, the ‘dustbowl’ years featured in John Steinbeck’s novel Grapes of Wrath, when incidentally atmospheric CO2 levels were much lower than they are today, were much hotter than anything experienced in the last 90 years:
Here the key trick being played on us by the climate catastrophists at the Guardian and BBC and elsewhere is the choice of the 1940s being used as the starting point for their claims. Given that the 1920s and 1930s were a period of record high temperatures, it’s hardly surprising that the lying climate catastrophists in the mainstream media manage to find some excuse to choose to ignore them while claiming recent temperatures are ‘the hottest ever’.
But never mind that the whole ‘hottest year ever’ is complete nonsense. This won’t prevent crazed, demented eco-buffoon Ed Miliband, enthusiastically egged on by most of the British mainstream media, from wrecking the British economy by stopping all North Sea oil and gas exploration and trying to replace cheap, reliable fossil fuel energy with ludicrously-expensive, intermittent and unreliable wind and solar power making increasingly bankrupt Britain the laughing stock of the world.
The details reveal the stupidity of this. You mention the satellite measurements. I haven’t looked at them in any detail and I’m not clear what they are really measuring. It is a proxy measurement from which temperature is estimated, but I’m also not certain where in the atmosphere it is measured. It is the same with the plot that you give which claims to be the surface temperature, but it isn’t, it is probably about a metre above the surface. Since much of the surface is oceans what do they do about that? My understanding is that it is sea temperature somewhere near the surface and that is going to be much lower than the land surface temperature. It really is the worst science imaginable.
It is the insane energy and industrial policies that are based on the climate alarmism that matter. Last night it was steel manufacturing again. We don’t have any iron ore so we have to import that, we have expensive energy and labour costs. It make no sense to me to attempt to manufacture here. In comparison China and India are ignoring all the climate nonsense and have cheap energy and labour costs. Most of Europe is in the same situation and we vote in the craziest politicians to deal with this. The USA is slightly better placed for energy but has two crazies standing for president. We only have ourselves to blame for voting for this.
I see the ‘Environ-Mental ‘protestors have discovered another pet judge who has declared that planning permission for the new coal mine in Cumbria was illegal (I’m sure Millipede is celebrating somewhere!). When will they go to India or China to protest coal mining which is in the millions of tons in those countries. It seems they won’t be satisfied until this country ends up as a rural backwater, or it would be if it wasn’t covered with useless solar panels and whirly things mostly manufactured in China using…..energy from coal!